Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 12.003311 13.449474 15.014950 16.837765 18.904769 21.179151 23.875783
2025-05-04 10.127418 12.117638 14.430669 17.326734 20.868761 25.076124 30.476748
2025-05-11 8.435195 10.687492 13.473325 17.193528 22.063157 28.263889 36.826720
2025-05-18 7.134777 9.517456 12.635248 17.051310 23.205812 31.567989 43.941552
2025-05-25 6.113405 8.544338 11.892540 16.898792 24.293870 34.971815 51.842129
2025-06-01 5.325655 7.767486 11.292712 16.834801 25.479060 38.698144 60.930942
2025-06-08 4.702207 7.132021 10.795481 16.830012 26.735070 42.727760 71.283229
2025-06-15 4.312237 6.788911 10.681164 17.387395 28.954152 48.650310 85.962770
2025-06-22 3.850405 6.266352 10.206554 17.275846 30.029324 52.828863 98.446743
2025-06-29 3.409094 5.717350 9.610854 16.859848 30.490159 55.982124 109.664920
2025-07-06 3.067249 5.291894 9.165876 16.637348 31.254403 59.808733 123.011541
2025-07-13 2.882820 5.117722 9.136950 17.171490 33.541224 66.987184 144.951208
2025-07-20 2.708451 4.946541 9.102860 17.715765 35.998017 75.095887 171.208132
2025-07-27 2.516545 4.718966 8.933474 17.966931 37.898849 82.416156 197.576403
2025-08-03 2.284251 4.385642 8.516352 17.643946 38.503318 86.975660 218.393786
2025-08-10 2.085036 4.094417 8.147263 17.369265 39.173124 91.834514 241.344457
2025-08-17 1.911838 3.835994 7.813798 17.124058 39.872459 96.918484 266.365342
2025-08-24 1.768068 3.622408 7.548925 16.996149 40.837186 102.884755 295.674247
2025-08-31 1.645770 3.440759 7.331160 16.946789 41.993893 109.611542 329.320148
2025-09-07 1.577890 3.369986 7.350946 17.475751 44.756632 121.359237 382.614733
2025-09-14 1.470027 3.197865 7.118588 17.340621 45.708049 128.157337 421.651685
2025-09-21 1.353626 2.993957 6.788476 16.907080 45.754068 132.294250 452.782819
2025-09-28 1.260700 2.834933 6.547232 16.672830 46.332945 138.208040 492.440513